After a 30% Slide, Bitcoin May Be Poised for a Turnaround

Bitcoin’s Bottom May Be In as Familiar Recovery Pattern Emerges

Bitcoin appears to be stabilizing after a sharp 30% drop from its record high of $109,000 in January, with market analysts suggesting that a bottom may have formed near the $76,000 mark on March 10.

This price action closely mirrors previous recovery patterns. Notably, bitcoin set higher lows at $78,000 on February 28 and just above $81,000 on March 31—forming a classic triangular consolidation. This structure is often interpreted by technical analysts as a potential reversal signal.

Similar behavior occurred during two recent market events: the yen carry trade unwind in August 2024 and the U.S. spot bitcoin ETF launch in January of the same year. In both cases, BTC declined sharply, established a base, and climbed after forming higher lows on either side of the trough.

“This higher low pattern has historically marked major inflection points,” said Omkar Godbole, managing editor at CoinDesk Markets. “The current structure reflects waning selling pressure and growing potential for renewed upward momentum.”

While broader macro risks—such as uncertainty around U.S. trade tariffs—remain a factor, technical indicators suggest that the worst of bitcoin’s recent downturn may be behind it. If the pattern holds, investors could be in for a bullish phase in the coming weeks.

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