October 18, 2025

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Bitcoin Bears Lag as Strategy Bears Breach Crucial Bull Market Level

Strategy Bears Breach Key Support as Bitcoin Holds Steady

Strategy (MSTR), the world’s largest publicly-listed Bitcoin holder, has seen its bears push below a critical bull market support, leaving Bitcoin (BTC) bears trailing behind.

The breakdown focuses on Strategy’s share price dropping below its 50-week simple moving average (SMA), a level that had reliably marked the end of corrective pullbacks since March 2023. Historically, the SMA spurred buying that propelled shares to new highs for over two years. Recently, however, bears have established control beneath this key level, signaling weakening buying pressure and potential further downside.

Bitcoin, in contrast, remains above its own 50-week SMA despite pulling back from record highs above $124,000, keeping its broader bullish trend intact.

Strategy holds 640,250 BTC, worth roughly $71.73 billion, according to Bitcointreasuries.net. Its accumulation has helped drive Bitcoin’s rally from $30,000 to $124,000 over the past two and a half years, making Strategy’s current technical weakness a possible cautionary signal for BTC bulls.

Momentum indicators like the weekly MACD are flashing red for Strategy, while Bitcoin’s MACD is also bearish but has yet to break its SMA. As of writing, BTC was trading near $111,700, with its 50-week SMA at $101,872, per TradingView.

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