Tariff-Focused Aussie Dollar Climbs—Could Bitcoin Follow as Bears Push BTC Below $75K?

Bitcoin Slips Below $75K as Aussie Dollar Rebound Signals Possible Risk Sentiment Shift

Bitcoin dipped below $75,000 on Monday, touching levels not seen since January, as fears surrounding a global tariff war intensified. The drop follows weeks of selling pressure sparked by U.S. President Donald Trump’s aggressive trade policies, which have shaken both traditional and digital markets.

Despite the carnage, one key risk barometer may be signaling that the worst could soon be over: the Australian dollar.

Often seen as a proxy for global risk appetite and China’s economic health, the AUD plunged as low as 0.5930 during the Asian session—its steepest fall in months—before sharply rebounding to 0.6011. The nearly 100-pip recovery suggests that some investors may see recent market moves as overdone.

Bitcoin’s latest slide completes a bearish technical formation flagged in early 2025: a double-top pattern projecting a decline toward the $70K–$75K range. That downside target has now been met, raising the question of whether a bottom is forming.

The Australian dollar’s rebound lends weight to that possibility. As a commodity-linked currency and a frequent casualty of trade disruptions, its stabilization often precedes broader recoveries in risk assets like equities and crypto.

Still, traders remain cautious. A falling market can tempt opportunists, but trying to time the exact bottom—especially in the face of major macroeconomic headwinds—is a high-stakes gamble.

For now, both crypto and forex markets appear to be holding their breath, waiting to see whether Monday’s bounce in AUD is the start of a broader turnaround—or merely a pause before another leg down.

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