Despite Historic Hash Rate, Bitcoin Struggles with Weak Price and Sluggish Activity

Bitcoin’s Record Hash Rate vs. Declining Transaction Activity: A Growing Dilemma for Miners

Bitcoin’s network hash rate has hit new all-time highs, but a disconnect between computational power and network activity is raising concerns about the cryptocurrency’s long-term viability.

The hash rate, which measures the amount of computing power required to mine Bitcoin blocks, has surged recently, reaching a record 838 exahashes per second (EH/s) on a 14-day moving average. Over the past 24 hours, it briefly spiked to 974 EH/s, the second-highest level ever recorded, according to Glassnode data. However, these short-term spikes in the hash rate don’t fully capture the growing challenges within the network, as longer timeframes are needed to assess its sustainability.

Bitcoin’s mining difficulty is poised to increase by more than 3% in the next two days, setting a new peak. Despite the network’s rising computational strength, Bitcoin’s price remains roughly 25% below its all-time highs. This discrepancy is significant, as miners need a strong Bitcoin price, full blocks, and high transaction fees to remain profitable.

Currently, miners are relying heavily on two sources of revenue: block rewards (which remain fixed at 3.125 BTC per block in this mining epoch) and transaction fees. However, transaction fees have been alarmingly low, averaging just 4 BTC daily, or roughly $377,634. As Bitcoin’s block subsidy continues to halve every four years, transaction volume and higher fees will be essential to ensure continued mining incentives.

Adding to the concern, Bitcoin’s network has been experiencing near-empty blocks. Developer Mononaut from Mempool noted that Foundry USA Pool recently mined the emptiest “non-empty” block in over two years, with only seven transactions included. This rare occurrence is a stark reminder that while the network’s computational power is growing, its usage and actual transactions are stagnating.

Nicolas Gregory, the creator of the Mercury Layer and former Nasdaq Board Director, pointed out that this trend could endanger Bitcoin’s long-term future.

“The empty blocks are sending a strong message,” Gregory said on X. “Bitcoin’s future isn’t just about ‘digital gold.’ It needs to be used in real commerce to thrive. If we don’t see increased transaction activity, the project could face serious hurdles.”

While the network’s hash rate continues to climb, the focus now turns to whether Bitcoin can foster real-world usage and scale beyond the store-of-value narrative.

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