October 4, 2025

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DOGE holds steady above 200DMA; daily close over $0.24 needed for breakout.

DOGE Holds Above 200DMA but Faces Resistance Near $0.24

DOGE remains above its 200-day moving average (~$0.22), but a push through $0.24 proved unsustainable, with price retreating to $0.23 by session close. Traders are monitoring a potential golden-cross setup if shorter-term moving averages start curling higher, signaling renewed bullish momentum.

The token advanced intraday, spiking on a 780M DOGE volume surge, yet late-session selling pressure capped gains and brought the price back to its support zone.

Whale Activity and Market Flows

Large holders contributed to the resistance at $0.24, with ~40M DOGE offloaded over the session, trimming total whale balances from ~11B to 10.75B coins. Despite this distribution, DOGE’s trend remains constructive, supported by continued demand above the 200DMA. Market movement was largely driven by spot flow and intraday momentum accounts, with no new external catalysts.

Price Action & Key Levels

  • DOGE traded within a $0.01 range (~4%), touching a high near $0.24 and a low near $0.23 before settling in the lower half.
  • The midday 13:00–14:00 breakout accounted for the session’s largest volume, moving DOGE from the low-$0.23s into $0.24 before supply re-emerged.
  • In the final hour, a brief spike to ~$0.24 at 01:26 reversed quickly to ~$0.23 on 12.96M DOGE, reinforcing resistance and keeping the price in the intraday range.

Technical Analysis

  • Support: $0.23 remains the key defense, with the 200DMA (~$0.22) providing structural support.
  • Resistance: $0.24 continues to cap upward moves. A clean daily close above this level could unlock $0.245–$0.25, with $0.255 as the next potential target.
  • Trend: Price is consolidating between $0.23–$0.24. A breakout from this range will define the next leg of the trend.
  • Moving Averages: Maintaining levels above the 200DMA preserves medium-term bullish bias; upward curling short-term MAs could trigger a golden-cross formation.
  • Flows: Whale outflows explain resistance at $0.24. Reduced selling pressure combined with persistent spot demand could improve upside potential.

Traders’ Watchpoints

  1. Daily close above $0.24: Confirms breakout and opens potential targets $0.245–$0.25, with extension to $0.255 if momentum continues.
  2. Defense of $0.23: Sustained absorption signals ongoing accumulation; a drop below exposes $0.225–$0.22 (200DMA).
  3. Whale supply at $0.24–$0.245: Thinning offers alongside consistent demand could push price higher.
  4. Volatility and breadth: Rising volatility without broad participation risks false breakouts; strong volume and breadth are necessary.
  5. Moving Average alignment: A short-term MA cross above while price holds >$0.23 would confirm a bullish technical signal.

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