
Bitcoin Slips Below $115K as ETF Outflows, Regulatory Headwinds Pressure Crypto Markets
Bitcoin hovered near $113,700 on Thursday, unable to reclaim the $115,000 level as resistance from the 50-day moving average capped a rebound effort. The broader crypto market added just 1%, reaching a total capitalization of $3.86 trillion, with analysts framing the move as a temporary bounce within a broader downtrend.
“Bitcoin’s failed push above $115K underscores ongoing market fragility, especially as tech stocks struggle,” said FxPro’s chief market analyst, Alex Kuptsikevich.
Data from SoSoValue highlighted sustained institutional caution. Bitcoin ETFs saw net outflows of $523 million on Monday, followed by $311 million on Wednesday and another $192 million on Thursday. Ether ETFs weren’t spared either, recording over $500 million in cumulative outflows over the same three-day period.
Kronos Research pointed to profit-taking and leveraged liquidations following BTC’s all-time highs earlier this month as key drivers behind the outflows.
Regulatory concerns added to the unease. The SEC is reportedly investigating Alt5 Sigma’s $1.5 billion deal with World Liberty Financial, a firm tied to U.S. President Donald Trump. The development has intensified investor anxiety around crypto’s regulatory trajectory.
On-chain activity for Ethereum has also softened. Active wallet addresses have declined 28% since July 30, indicating waning retail participation. ETH was last seen trading at $4,289, up 0.4% on the day but still more than 7% off recent highs.
Other major tokens mirrored this weakness. XRP dropped to $2.87 and Solana to $183, with both falling over 6% this week. While a dovish Fed tone could trigger a short-term bounce, analysts warn that continued outflows and weak fundamentals could limit upside.
In derivatives markets, Bitcoin’s 30-day delta skew spiked to 12%, the highest level in four months, reflecting increased demand for downside protection.
“This weakness is macro-driven, not crypto-native,” said Ruslan Lienkha, chief of markets at YouHodler. “Selling pressure in equities is spilling over into digital assets.”
Lienkha added that it remains uncertain whether recent positioning reflects short-term hedging ahead of Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole or a more sustained reversal. “The current pullback could either mark the end of the cycle or just be another correction,” he said.
Still, some remain bullish on long-term prospects. Bitwise noted that U.S. pension fund allocations could be a major catalyst, projecting that inflows could push Bitcoin toward $200,000 by year-end — potentially surpassing the impact of spot ETF approvals. First allocations could begin this fall, the firm added.
For now, all eyes are on Powell’s Friday remarks. A dovish tone may ease pressure across risk assets, but any reluctance to support rate cuts could prolong Bitcoin’s 9% retreat from its recent peak.
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